Climate accountability for East Africa
Are East Africa's climate promises being kept?
Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania and Rwanda have each promised to cut their greenhouse gas emissions. We check two parts of each economy, transport and farming, against those promises. Every finding is in plain words, and every number is traced to its source.
How it works
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Read the promise
Our trained model goes through each country's climate plan and marks the sentences that make a promise. Each figure is then checked by hand.
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Follow the emissions
For transport and farming, we draw where emissions were heading before 2015 and where they are heading now, and set both against the promise.
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Count the cost
We put a money value on the gap, and on any progress, year by year, using the social cost of carbon.
What a free account adds
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Every country, in full
Each country's promise, its verdicts for transport and farming, the charts behind them, and what the gap costs.
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Ask in your own words
An assistant answers from our findings and from trusted reports, and links every answer to its sources. Your chats are kept for you alone.
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News that matters to you
Choose the countries and topics you care about, and the news page puts them first.
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Your data, your choice
Change your interests, download what we hold about you, or delete your account at any time.
Why this matters
Does climate change really affect daily life here?
Yes. Millions of people in East Africa earn a living from the land, and the weather decides how they do. Farming employs about two in three workers in Uganda and Tanzania, almost half in Kenya and about a third in Rwanda1. When rains fail or floods come, harvests, food prices and jobs suffer.
In 2024, about half of Ugandans (53%) said droughts in their area had become more severe over the past ten years2. The World Bank warns that, without action to adapt, climate change could leave Kenya's economy up to 7% smaller by 2050 than it would otherwise be3.
How many people know about climate change?
Fewer than you might think. In Kenya, 53% of adults said they had heard of climate change in 2021, down from 70% two years before1. In Uganda the figure was 66% in 20242, and in Tanzania it was 38%3.
Across 38 African countries surveyed in 2024 and 2025, only 43% of adults had heard of climate change and knew that people are at least partly to blame4. Yet most of those who have heard of it say it is already making life worse: 76% in Uganda2 and 80% in Tanzania3.
Why do climate promises need checking?
Each country writes its climate promise in a long technical document, sends it to the United Nations and updates it every five years1. The documents use terms like business as usual and conditional targets, and few people have the time to read them.
When people do not know what was promised, they cannot ask whether it is being kept. The Kenyan survey above suggests that teaching more people about climate change is one step towards building support for action2. This site puts each promise, and the progress against it, in plain words.
What does this site do, and what does an account add?
It reads each country's promise, checks transport and farming emissions against it, and says in plain words whether each sector is on track. Every figure links back to its source.
A free account opens the findings for each country. It also adds an assistant that answers your questions from our findings and from trusted reports, news on the countries and topics you follow, and settings to manage or delete your data.
Who is behind this site?
Tracking the Gap is an independent final year project in BSc Informatics and Computer Science at Strathmore University, Nairobi. It is not run or paid for by any government. Its methods and data sources are set out on the About page, so anyone can check them.
Figures checked on their sources on 2 November 2026.
See where each country stands
A free account takes a minute, with your email or your Google account.